Mock Format: Ten Round 12-Team PPR Redraft
2023 Rookies Not Included
Full team rosters included, with grades
Round 1
1.01 Justin Jefferson – MIN (WR1)
1.02 Christian McCaffrey – SF (RB 1)
1.03 Austin Ekeler – LAC (RB 2)
1.04 Cooper Kupp – LAR (WR 2)
1.05 Ja’Marr Chase – CIN (WR 3)
1.06 Travis Kelce – KC (TE 1)
1.07 Jonathan Taylor – IND (RB 3)
1.08 Tyreek Hill – MIA (WR 4)
1.09 Saquon Barkley – NYG (RB 4)
1.10 Josh Jacobs – LV (RB 5)
1.11 Davante Adams – LV (WR 5)
1.12 Stefon Diggs – BUF (WR 6)
Round Risers: Justin Jefferson (1.03 🡪 1.01), Josh Jacobs (2.02 🡪 1.10)
Round Droppers: Austin Ekeler (1.01 🡪 1.03)
Analysis: With Austin Ekeler requesting a trade, his status as the consensus number one pick in fantasy has hit a snag. His role in the Chargers offense was so perfect for elite fantasy production, but it is hard to envision how his workload will change on another team. He has been linked to the Eagles and Bills, two elite contenders with elite quarterbacks. However, would Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts eat into Ekeler’s workload? Would he see the same high volume receiving role?
The loss of Adam Thielen in Minnesota was enough reason to nudge Jefferson into the 1.01 spot, although you could easily make the argument for CMC as well. Meanwhile, Josh Jacobs pushes back into the first round after the Raiders traded for Jimmy Garroppolo. While the franchise tag is an unfortunate result for a running back who deserved a bag this offseason, hopefully it will encourage Jacobs to go beast mode yet again. At least he has a starting caliber quarterback near the level of Derek Carr.
Round 2
2.01 Derrick Henry – TEN (RB 6)
2.02 Tony Pollard – DAL (RB 7)
2.03 CeeDee Lamb – DAL (WR 7)
2.04 AJ Brown – PHI (WR 8)
2.05 Amon-Ra St. Brown – DET (WR 9)
2.06 Breece Hall – NYJ (RB 8)
2.07 Joe Mixon – CIN (RB 9)
2.08 Travis Etienne – JAX (RB 10)
2.09 Jaylen Waddle – MIA (WR 10)
2.10 Garrett Wilson – NYJ (WR 11)
2.11 Nick Chubb – CLE (RB 11)
2.12 Kenneth Walker III – SEA (RB 12)
Round Risers: Tony Pollard (2.08 🡪 2.02), Travis Etienne (3.03 🡪 2.08) Kenneth Walker (3.01 🡪 2.12), Garrett Wilson (3.02 🡪 2.10)
Round Droppers: Breece Hall (1.09 🡪 2.06)
Analysis: Breece Hall had to drop, as my choice to put him in the first round of my first mock may have been a bit overzealous. However, I am still very high on Hall despite the ACL recovery, and have him slotted in as a mid-2nd round pick, ranking as the RB8 overall.
Travis Etienne, meanwhile, was ranked too low in the previous mock and deserved a spot in the 2nd round. His upside is extremely high, with the Jaguars expected to win the AFC South this year and take a big jump forward.
Round 3
3.01 Chris Olave – NO (WR 12)
3.02 Tee Higgins – CIN (WR 13)
3.03 Rhamondre Stevenson – NE (RB 13)
3.04 Najee Harris – PIT (RB 14)
3.05 DeAndre Hopkins – AZ (WR 14)
3.06 Dameon Pierce – HOU (RB 15)
3.07 Devonta Smith – PHI (WR 15)
3.08 Isaiah Pacheco – KC (RB 16)
3.09 Mark Andrews – BAL (TE 2)
3.10: Patrick Mahomes – KC (QB1)
3.11 Jalen Hurts – PHI (QB2)
3.12 Josh Allen – BUF (QB3)
Round Risers: Chris Olave (3.05 🡪 3.01), Isaiah Pacheco (4.08 🡪 3.08), Patrick Mahomes (4.04 🡪 3.10), Jalen Hurts (4.05 🡪 3.11), Josh Allen (4.07 🡪 3.12)
Round Droppers: Najee Harris (2.09 🡪 3.04), Rhamondre Stevenson (2.06 🡪 3.03)
Analysis: Chris Olave had to climb the rankings once the Saints locked up Derek Carr, marking a massive upgrade at the quarterback position for New Orleans. Olave was already effective as a rookie, he should be even better with Carr throwing him the rock.
A point that became clearer to me after my first mock of the offseason was that the top three quarterbacks were bound to be drafted earlier, so I had to nudge them into the third round. Given the dropoff from the top-4 QBs to the rest of the field, I would imagine these three end up going in the top three rounds.
Round 4
4.01 TJ Hockenson – MIN (TE 3)
4.02 Dallas Goedert – PHI (TE 4)
4.03 James Conner – AZ (RB 17)
4.04 Joe Burrow – CIN (QB 4)
4.05 Javonte Williams – DEN (RB 18)
4.06 DK Metcalf – SEA (WR 17)
4.07 Deebo Samuel – SF (WR 18)
4.08 Dalvin Cook – MIN (RB 19)
4.09 Justin Fields – CHI (QB 5)
4.10 Mike Evans – TB (WR19)
4.11 Keenan Allen – LAC (WR 20)
4.12 Aaron Jones – GB (RB 19)
Round Risers: Joe Burrow (6.01 🡪 4.04), Justin Fields (6.06 🡪 4.09), Mike Evans (5.04 🡪 4.10)
Round Droppers: Dalvin Cook (3.09 🡪 4.08), Aaron Jones (4.03 🡪 4.12)
Analysis: Burrow and Fields are two quarterbacks who could find themselves in the same tier as the top three selected in the previous round, so their rankings had to shoot up. The fall-off from QB5 to QB6 is quite steep as well. Mike Evans got a bump thanks some help at the quarterback position in Baker Mayfield, who is nothing special but certainly better than what the Bucs were working with. Dalvin Cook and Aaron Jones fall due to younger running backs jumping them in the rankings.
Round 5
5.01 Trevor Lawrence – JAX (QB6)
5.02 Terry McLaurin – WAS (WR 21)
5.03 Tyler Lockett – SEA (WR 22)
5.04 Miles Sanders – CAR (RB 20)
5.05 Chris Godwin – TB (WR 23)
5.06 Mike Williams – LAC (WR 24)
5.07 Jerry Jeudy – DEN (WR 25)
5.08 Calvin Ridley – JAX (WR 24)
5.09 Tyler Allegier – ATL (RB 21)
5.10 Michael Pittman Jr. – IND (WR 25)
5.11 David Montgomery – DET (RB 22)
5.12 Cam Akers – LAR (RB 23)
Round Risers: David Montgomery (N/A 🡪 5.11), Cam Akers (6.11 🡪 5.12), Chris Godwin (7.06 🡪 5.05)
Round Droppers: Miles Sanders (4.11 🡪 5.04)
Analysis: Montgomery earns a spot in the first five rounds thanks to a seamless fit with the Lions, who allowed Jamaal Williams to leave in free agency. Montgomery will likely handle the bulk of carries in the offense and offers superior receiving skills to Jamaal Williams. Montgomery will be playing behind one of the better run-blocking offensive lines and could be one of the bigger steals of the draft next year.
Cam Akers had a very good stretch at the end of last year, but the Rams’ offense does not project to be very good next year. Still, he has serious upside as a three-down back, especially with little competition in the Rams’ backfield right now.
