Best Bets for UFC Vegas 70

Best Bets for UFC Vegas 70


Best Bets for UFC Vegas 70


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Jordan Leavitt vs Victor Martinez 

Jordan Leavitt ML (-115) 

Jordan Leavitt DEC (+400) 

Jordan Leavitt is a 10-2 grappling heavy fighter who claimed his UFC contract in 2020 with a first round Arm-Triangle choke victory on Dana White’s contender series. He has gone 3-2 in the UFC with two finishes and one decision victory. His losses came to Paddy Pimblett and Claudio Puelles who both have gone on to prove themselves as real contenders in the lightweight division. In the other corner, Victor Martinez will be making his UFC debut after earning a contract on the Contender Series with a less than impressive decision victory that I personally don’t even believe was worthy of a contract. Martinez has gone 13-4 on the regional scene and does not strike me as UFC talent. He has heavier hands than Leavitt, but that is true of most of Leavitt’s opponents. Leavitt has the massive grappling advantage, the experience advantage, and is even the younger of the two fighters. Martinez will struggle with his pressure and takedowns and take an L in his UFC debut. I can potentially see a Leavitt submission, but at +400 I will happily sprinkle a decision victory knowing I cash on the moneyline with a submission. 


Trevor Peek vs Erick Gonzalez 

Trevor Peek ML (-230) 

Trevor Peek KO (-135) 

Trevor Peek is an undefeated 7-0 prospect with a 100% KO rate making his debut this weekend after earning a contract on last year’s season of Dana White’s Contender Series with a second-round ground and pound KO. He makes his debut against 14-7 Erick Gonzalez who has gotten off to a shaky 0-2 start in the UFC. Gonzalez was finished by both Terrence McKinney and Jim Miller. Peek like McKinney is a guy that goes in there to finish the fight quick, and eventually against higher competition that will catch up to him, but a guy like Erick Gonzalez is food for Trevor Peek. I expect a first or second round, bonus-earning debut KO for Trevor Peek and an easy cashout for us. 


Augusto Sakai vs Don’Tale Mayes

Augusto Sakai ML (-130)

Augusto Sakai once looked to be the brightest prospect in the Heavyweight division after winning his first four fights with the UFC including victories over Andrei Arlovski, Marcin Tybura, and Blagoy Ivanov. He has since dropped his last four, all against top 10 ranked competition. For this reason, he takes a massive step down in competition against Don’Tale Mayes. Mayes has gone 2-2-1 in his young UFC career, facing much lighter competition than Sakai has been in there with. You only have to watch a minute or two of each mens’ fights to see that Sakai is the better fighter of the two. The only fear in this play is where Sakai’s chin is at after four straight TKO losses. Mayes has not been a one punch knockout guy, but things can happen quickly at Heavyweight. At -130 I’m willing to bet  he avoids the KO and glides to an easy decision victory. 


Nikita Krylov vs Ryan Spann 

Under 1.5 Rounds (-165) 

Nikita Krylov is a veteran Light Heavyweight that has finished 27 of his 29 career wins, all in under two rounds. Of his nine losses he was finished in seven. He faces Ryan Spann in Saturday’s Main Event, who has finished 18 of his 21 wins, again all in under two rounds; and has been finished in five of his seven losses. These two kill or be killed beasts will be locked in the Apex’s small Octagon for a maximum of seven minutes of violence this weekend for what will be our easiest bet to cash.


All odd via BetFred Sportsbook


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