1. Chris Olave
It was a tough outing for practically every New Orleans Saints player this past Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers. In what should have been an easy matchup against a soft passing defense, Chris Olave had a single digit fantasy point total, which is something we haven’t seen out of him since Week One. I saw Week 10 as a fluky game for every Saints’ player, as they were struggling immensely to find any sort of efficiency. Alvin Kamara couldn’t even put up 30 yards on the ground, so I wouldn’t hold Olave’s performance on him either. He is still the same talented player with no real evidence of a clear drop in targets, he is still a high wide receiver two in my book.
Olave also hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week Five, and I expect those to come back around as the season goes on. This value is where Olave would be at his lowest, which is why I recommend trading for him with the potential for his value to boom again.
2. Jonathan Taylor
Ladies and Gentlemen, Jonathan Taylor is back! After a big performance rushing for over 120 yards and a touchdown, I don’t think the fantasy community values him like they once did as a top five running back. For me, moving forward, he is locked and loaded as a top five running back the rest of the season. Usually, you won’t be able to buy players coming off a big performance, but with Taylor, most people have come to the realization that he is still a running back one, but how high they’ll put him shows me that the buy low window is still open.
With Nyheim Hines on a new team and not taking the passing work in Indianapolis, as he once did, Taylor has been an every down player with 94% of the total snaps. That involvement will continue. More work in the air instantly skyrockets his upside, especially for big plays. The only running backs I currently rank ahead of Taylor are Saquon Barkley, Christian McCaffrey, Derrick Henry, Nick Chubb, and Austin Ekeler.
3. Courtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton is going to be a target monster moving forward. It seems like whenever Jerry Jeudy does return, his ankle injury will linger. In the one game without Jeudy this season, Sutton caught six of his 11 targets for 66 yards. He had a 26% target share, with the next highest being at 14%.
If you are looking to make a playoff push, Sutton’s next four games are a wide receiver’s dream. He has the Las Vegas Raiders, Carolina Panthers, Baltimore Ravens, and Kansas City Chiefs. All rank near the top in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. With a lingering injury to Jeudy and a negative game script primarily, Sutton is a top name to trade for and I see him being a wide receiver two with wide receiver one upside.
1. Najee Harris
Najee Harris finally had the game that fantasy managers hoped would be the norm based on draft capital. Against a pretty strong rush defense, Harris saw the ball over 20 times for the first time all season. As I mentioned when talking about Olave, the Steelers game against the Saints went a lot towards no one’s expectation. The same can be said by not only the over performance of Harris, but the over usage. The Steelers find themselves in a negative game script in the vast majority of their games. To see them dominate for most of a game, this shows it was the positive game script that was able to allow the team to pepper Harris with touches.
That is why he is at the top of my sell list. I have zero faith he’ll keep up the usage, let alone efficiency. I’d look to package him with another player to buy low on a running back with the potential value skyrocketed compared to the value Harris is currently at.
2. Raheem Mostert
Raheem Mostert is making the sell list for the second time in a row, but this time all by his lonesome instead of with fellow running back Jeff Wilson Jr. It seems to me like Wilson is the main guy in that backfield after receiving 17 attempts for 119 yards whereas Mostert ran eight times for 65 yards. Something we couldn’t say the week before is that Mostert was much more efficient, with those eight carries averaging over eight yards per carry.
Either way, until I see otherwise, this backfield is a mess and if I had to choose a back from there it would be Wilson. Mostert got the short end of the stick, and I don’t see a way of coming back at the current moment. You probably cannot sell Mostert on his own, so you might require a trade package for it.
3. Devin Singletary
Devin Singletary still seems super touchdown dependent already, and it only plans to get worse from there. Although he had by far and away the vast majority of the snaps, seeing four running backs getting a portion of the Buffalo Bills run game scares me. Even if they aren’t playing enough snaps to truly take away parts of Singletary’s usage. As they all get more accustomed to working with each other, we could end up seeing a full-fledged committee.
Singletary gave us the gift of performing horribly but still scoring a lot of fantasy points with his two rushing touchdowns. You can never rely on touchdowns to come often, especially more than one in a game. Singletary doesn’t have the established floor to keep me playing him. Without those two touchdowns, you definitely wouldn’t have had this sale window for Singletary. Without the touchdowns, he would be forced to ride everyone’s bench in their lineups unless something big happened.