UFC Fight Night: Calvin Kattar vs. Arnold Allen Predictions

Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

UFC Fight Night: Calvin Kattar vs. Arnold Allen Predictions

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UFC Fight Night: Calvin Kattar vs. Arnold Allen Predictions

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Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

After a historic event in Abu Dhabi, the UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas, where Featherweight contenders Calvin Kattar and Arnold Allen look to move closer to their shot at the gold. 

Fight One: Joshua Weems (10-2) vs. Christian Rodriguez (7-1) 

Winner: Christian Rodriguez by KO/TKO

Young Bantamweights Joshua Weems and Christian Rodriguez start this card off and are looking for their first UFC win. Weems was knocked out by Fernie Garcia on Dana White’s Contender Series, but has won his last two fights on the regional scene. This has earned him a chance in the octagon, and he will try to make the most of it. Rodriguez made his UFC debut back in February and unfortunately lost to Jonathan Pearce, but he fought well, and now he looks to rebound with a win over the newcomer, Weems. In the night’s first fight, I will take the younger fighter, Rodriguez, to get his first UFC win. Despite his loss to Pearce, Rodriguez proved he could compete with UFC-level talent, and in the past, he has proved he has power in his hands. Weems has proved against the higher level competition that he can be knocked out fairly quickly, which should give Rodriguez some confidence. I think Rodriguez is skilled enough to stuff the takedown attempts of Weems and will keep this fight on the feet where he can out-strike him and eventually knock him out. 

 

Fight Two: Cody Durden (13-4-1) vs. Carlos Mota (8-1)

Winner: Cody Durden by Decision

In another short-notice fight, UFC veteran Cody Durden faces off against debutant Carlos Mota in a Flyweight bout. Durden is 2-2-1 in his last five appearances but is coming off a TKO win over JP Buys and is looking to build on that previous outing with a win over Mota. After suffering the first loss of his career nine months ago to now UFC fighter Charles Johnson, Mota has rebounded with back-to-back wins and is looking to make it three. There are two undeniable facts about this fight, Mota is the much better striker, and Durden is the much better wrestler. Early in this fight, Mota should be winning, landing a higher volume of strikes and looking for a knockout. But, what I like about Durden is his ability to take the strikes on the feet and still be able to dominate on the ground, which is what, I think, will happen here. Recently, when Durden lost, he lost due to his opponent’s submission skills. Because Mota is not a submission threat, I believe Durden will be able to control the fight without getting submitted and earn a decision. 

Fight Three: Chase Hooper (11-2-1) vs. Steve Garcia (12-5) 

Winner: Chase Hooper by KO/TKO

In a Featherweight matchup, the young Chase Hooper looks to better his UFC record to 4-2 with a win over Steve Garcia. The 23-year-old Hooper has had an up-and-down career since entering the UFC. He has gone 3-2 with impressive wins and bad losses; now he finally looks to get a winning streak going with a win over Garcia, giving him his second win in a row. Garcia has also had an inconsistent start to his UFC career, losing his debut to Luis Pena, finishing Charlie Ontiveros, and losing his last fight to Maheshate Hayisaer. Hooper may not be known for his knockout power, but I think this will be a fight where he can knock him down. He should use his length and improved striking to crack the chin of Garcia and knock him down to the ground. This shouldn’t be too hard because Garcia has been knocked out previously, and the weight cut should make his chin even more susceptible to damage. Once Hooper has Garcia down on the ground, he will pounce and use his grappling background to keep Garcia down and end this fight via submission.

 

Fight Four: Joseph Holmes (8-2) vs. Jun Yong Park (14-5) 

Winner: Jun Yong Park by Decision

Joseph Holmes and Jun Yong Park look to build on their last win in another Middleweight matchup. After losing his debut, Holmes rebounded nicely with a win in his previous fight via submission over Alen Amedovski and now looks to take down the steep challenge of Park. In his last five appearances, Park has looked impressive, with wins in four, and his only loss coming to Gregory Rodrigues, who has proved himself a top talent in the division. In his last time out, Park defeated Eryk Anders and now looks to make Holmes his second victim in a row. My main reason for believing that Park will win this fight is because I don’t think he is either elite in any aspect of MMA. He also isn’t exponentially better than Park in any facet of the game enough to finish him. Holmes was also unable to defeat Jamie Pickett, who has looked like he may not even belong in the UFC in his recent fights, so it is not a good loss on Holmes’ record. Park also tends to do well in fights that go the distance and doesn’t seem to run out of gas, so the longer the fight goes, the more it favors Park. As long as Park doesn’t give up his back to Holmes, allowing him to finish this via rear naked choke, he should be able to close the distance with powerful strikes and take the fight to the ground, earning a decision victory. 

 

Fight Five: Andrei Arlovski (34-20) vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima (19-8-1) 

Winner: Andrei Arlovski by Decision

Borderline top 15 heavyweights Andrei Arlovski and Marcos Rogerio de Lima go at it in the octagon, looking to get closer to a ranked opponent. After losing to Tom Aspinall, UFC legend Arlovski is on a four fight win streak and looking to make it five with a win over de Lima. De Lima, on the other hand, is looking to rebound after suffering a defeat to Blagoy Ivanov and pick up his 20th win in his career. This is an incredibly close fight, but I will take the fighter with momentum coming into this fight, and that would be Arlovski. De Lima has the power to go out early and knock out Arlovski, but also struggles with his cardio, which is what his demise will be in this fight. Even at his age, Arlovski is still the more technical striker in this matchup, and his defense is good enough to hold up against de Lima early. Arlovski should still have more left in the tank after an early push from de Lima. That will allow him to outland de Lima in the later rounds and earn him another close decision. 

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