We just finished the overreactions of Week One. Now it is time to ground ourselves on the star players who failed to live up to expectations and not hang on too tight to the players who produced way higher than expectations. A players’ average draft position matters. When a guy you took in round one doesn’t produce like the rest of the guys who went around him, you might be discouraged and regret that draft choice. Or, when a guy going in round 10 scores 30 points, you might want to pull the trigger as an every week start and compare him to those first round players. This also doesn’t mean that you should sell every player who plays well which was unexpected. So, without further ado, these are the players to buy and sell ahead of Week Two.
Players To Buy:
1. Kyle Pitts
Kyle Pitts came off a bad game in Week One, catching just two of his seven targets for 19 yards. His performance should be nothing to worry about as he still led the team in targets along with Drake London. Pitts also led the Atlanta Falcons in air yards and had commanded targets at a higher rate than anyone on the team as well. Pitts is a generational talent, and he is still an every week start. I still see him finishing as the top tight end, especially after watching the Falcons actually move the ball down the field. This is the lowest you will be able to get Kyle Pitts all season, and I’ll be packaging players in a lot of my leagues to get him.
2. Rhamondre Stevenson
Rhamondre Stevenson is a buy target that not many people are talking about. He had little opportunity in Week One only playing 25% of snaps, equating to eight carries for 25 yards and two catches. Now, Ty Montgomery got hurt. That means there is an additional 37% of snaps up for grabs between Stevenson and Damien Harris. Last week Stevenson had just one fewer touch than Harris which makes me think he can climb the New England Patriots depth chart. This is the only time you can get Rhamondre Stevenson at an almost free price tag after only scoring 4.7 points. Trade those Robbie Anderson type players or other one-hit wonders at the end of your bench and land the upside with Rhamondre Stevenson.
3. D.J. Moore
D.J. Moore came off a pretty bad start to his season, only catching three passes for 43 yards. He was out targeted by Robbie Anderson by two targets, and that will not be a trend that continues. Moore was on the field 100% of the time, and he’s easily the most talented in this receiving core. Moore also ran 33 routes, which was the same amount as Anderson. This was a one-week wonder for Anderson, and Moore is the clear main guy for the Carolina Panthers. If you can pair a guy like Jerry Jeudy with a Michael Carter and Jamaal Williams, you might be able to pull off the trade for Moore. Grab him before he finds the end zone.
Players to Sell:
1. Miles Sanders
Miles Sanders is coming off a fantastic week, scoring 18.5 points. He pretended to be the lead back, but do not be fooled. He only had 52% of snaps because Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott were heavily involved as well. We know this offense, and we know how Sanders plays in this offense. We know he’s not going to score a whole lot and know he’s not that involved in the passing game. On top of that, having Jalen Hurts at quarterback is horrible for any running back. Hurts is going to vulture carries and touchdowns from Sanders all season. His Week One performance was a gift, so you should try selling him for a better and more consistent option.
2. Jerry Jeudy
I like Jerry Jeudy as a player and I saw some nice bright spots with him Monday night, but this Denver Broncos offense is extremely suspect and needs some work. Jeudy scored 20.2 points which I think Jeudy can hit again this season but watching this Broncos offense, he is bound to be inconsistent. Nathaniel Hackett had a horrible head coaching debut, and it is hard to tell if it will continue. Russell Wilson did not look comfortable in this offense, and his target share to each weapon will be scattered. There will be weeks where Jeudy scores in the single digits. I do like his teammate Courtland Sutton more, so you can try packaging Jeudy with another bench player to upgrade to a D.J. Moore or Sutton.
3. James Robinson
I’ve talked about my love for Travis Etienne so many times before and after James Robinson’s 20 point performance, nothing changes. Although Robinson scored 20 points, 12 of those points came from his two touchdowns, which shows me nothing that he’s a better running back than Etienne. Despite Robinson’s receiving touchdown, Etienne will take over as their complete receiving back. He’s already their clear red zone guy as he led Robinson with three red zone touches with two of them being red zone passes. Etienne showed me in Week One that he’s more efficient and talented than Robinson and it will show in time. He played 52% of snaps last week, which I think can extend to 60% next week. Buy Etienne before he gets hot!