The undefeated Buffalo Bills will head down to Hard Rock Stadium to take on the undefeated Miami Dolphins. This is a new Dolphins team the Bills will be facing compared to years past where the Bills have gone on a seven game win streak. It is still early in the year, but it is a crucial matchup for who gains possession for the top spot in the AFC East at the current moment. For the Bills, there are a few key factors that will help them get the win.
Make Tua Tagovailoa Hang Onto The Ball
Under the new Mike McDaniel offensive scheme, Tua Tagovailoa has had a successful start to his 2022 season. The strengths of Tagovailoa are him being able to get the ball out quickly with run-pass option, or play-action plays. There is a reason the Dolphins currently have the most play-action attempts this season, with 33. To further show how efficient Tagovailoa has been with the quick passing game, when he gets the ball out in less than 2.5 seconds he has had zero turnover worthy plays. Compare that to when he has been forced to make throws later than 2.5 seconds, his turnover worthy play percentage jumps to top five in the NFL with 9.1%. By taking away the quick passing game, it allows the Bills to get to Tagovailoa. The Dolphins offensive line, while improved, has still allowed 23 pressures and four sacks. The Bills have had success getting pressure with their defensive front of Von Miller, Greg Rousseau, Ed Oliver (when healthy), Tim Settle, DaQuan Jones, and Jordan Phillips. They have nine sacks on 20 pressures, and have only blitzed six times, which is tied for the second fewest.
Expose The Linebackers
When it comes to the linebacker portion of the field, Jerome Baker is the staple. He plays with great range and has made seven tackles so far this season. When it comes to pass coverage, Baker has been targeted five times and allowed all five passes to be completed for 30 yards. Next to Baker, it has been a bit inconsistent as well. Elandon Roberts has seen some time, but has also allowed a 100% completion percentage for 27 yards and has missed three tackles. Josh Allen will be able to exploit this. When it comes to passes between the line of scrimmage and 10 yards, he has completed 81.8% of those passes. From 11-20 yards he has accurately thrown 83.3% of those passes. The Bills offense has been able to be creative, as even though Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis play mostly out wide, they have both had over 15 snaps in the slot so far this season to create mismatches.
Protect The Football
This one is pretty obvious, but even more so with the Dolphins. While the Dolphins only have one interception on the season, they have been able to get to the ball and cause eight pass breakups. They have also been able to force two fumbles as well. The Bills played clean against the Tennessee Titans, but in their game against the Los Angeles Rams, there were two interceptions and two fumbles by the running backs. Just last season when the Bills went to Miami in Week Two, the Dolphins forced two fumbles. So sticking to the fundamentals and not being sloppy with the football will be a major key against an opportunistic Dolphins defense.