NFL Week Three Best Bets

Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week Three Best Bets

Football

NFL Week Three Best Bets

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Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports 

Week Three has just begun, and I have some more bets for you to hammer this week! We were profitable for the second week in a row last week after hitting on the New York Jets +6.5 and the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers under 41.5 points. We have yet to have a 3-0 week, so let’s hope we get it here. 

 

Chicago Bears -2.5

The Chicago Bears are coming off their first road game of the season and their first loss of the season. The Packers were able to build up a good lead early last week, and the Bears had no answer on offense to keep up. The Houston Texans, on the other hand, are coming off a questionable loss to the Denver Broncos. The loss is questionable because although only losing by one score, the Texans played an awful game. As I mentioned, this was a spot that I loved the Broncos in last week, but they were unable to cover. This awful game play is one that will be the norm for the Texans, a team that in my opinion is the worst in the league. 

I absolutely love the Bears in this spot. Let’s analyze the situation. The Bears return home to Soldier Field after playing their rival at Lambeau. We obviously saw how the Texans performed on the road in Week Two compared to at home in Week One. This is a game where Justin Fields excels as a runner and might be able to get things done with the deep ball. The Bears offensive coordinator and play caller Luke Getsy has so far had a terrible first two weeks in the league trying to change stagnant play calling into explosive play calling, and I believe that change begins on Sunday. I love the Bears at -2.5 this week. 

Minnesota Vikings -6

If you don’t notice a trend already, I love picking teams in a good spot coming off a bad loss. This is because while you can have all the stats and trends in your arsenal, sometimes these small situational factors that go overlooked can make all the difference. That is why I’m picking the Minnesota Vikings this week, and it might be an ugly one. Let’s start with the opposing team in this one. The Detroit Lions are a team I loved coming into the season and still love them as a cover buster this season. However, I’m taking the favorite by just under a score in this one. I think the Lions have the talent to keep this one close, but I don’t view this game against the Vikings on the road going that way. The Lions have performed really well so far this season, reaching at least 35 points in both Week One and Week Two. 

The Vikings are coming off an abysmal loss to the Philadelphia Eagles after a prominent win in Week One against the Green Bay Packers. The question that poses is how legitimate was this loss. We all know Kirk Cousins struggles in primetime and primarily Monday Night. I expect a swift bounce back from the Vikings quarterback, and I see them firing on all cylinders against a defense that has given up an average of 31 points per game. The Vikings have a very underrated defense, and when you pair that with the potential for the Lions to struggle offensively and regress back to their means of production, I think the Vikings win this one by more than a score. 

 

Indianapolis Colts +5.5

The Indianapolis Colts did the thing again by losing to the Jacksonville Jaguars for what has been an eternity. I mean, it’s been about a seven-year streak that the Colts have lost on the road to the Jaguars, and my was this an ugly one. After tying with the Texans in Week One, a team that I have proclaimed as the worst team in the NFL, the Colts followed it up with a shutout loss to the Jaguars. Everyone on the team is struggling, but I’m not buying it to continue any longer this season. I think the bounce back starts this week against the Kansas City Chiefs of all teams. I think this team can win outright, especially in a spot where the Chiefs have a look ahead to their matchup next week. The Chiefs play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week Four, which is a game they would game plan more around than the winless Colts. 

This game is a perfect combination of an overachieving team playing against an underachieving team. The Chiefs exceeded my expectations, with Patrick Mahomes already passing for almost 600 yards with a seven-to-zero touchdown-to-interception ratio in two games. With a dominant win against the Arizona Cardinals scoring 44 points in Week One and beating their division rival, and my AFC West division winner prediction, the Los Angeles Chargers. The Colts have pretty much lost twice to two of the worst teams in the league as they enter Week Three and stomp on their home field for the first time this season. They’ll be fired up from not only playing their home opener, but also to bounce back from their last two games. This game smells of a trap, and I’m going to profit off it by taking the Colts in this spot. 

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