The start of an 11 game homestand for the Mets and it begins with a tough matchup right away. The Mets enter today with a 3.5 game lead over the Atlanta Braves and this series could determine who’s the better team in the NL East. The Mets open their long homestand against the team who’s been chasing them all year, for a rare five game series set at Citi Field.
Atlanta Braves Record: 63-42
New York Mets Record: 66-38
Kyle Wright 13-4, 2.93 ERA vs Carlos Carrasco 11-4, 3.79 ERA
Ian Anderson 9-6, 4.99 ERA vs Taijuan Walker 9-2, 2.79 ERA
Doubleheader game one:
Max Fried 10-3, 2.58 ERA vs Max Scherzer 7-2, 2.13 ERA
Doubleheader game two:
Jake Odorrizi (Braves Debut) 4-3, 3.75 ERA vs TBD
Spencer Strider 6-3, 2.79 ERA vs Jacob deGrom, 1.80 ERA
What to watch:
The Mets and Braves enter this series with this being the first five of nine games these two play against each other in a stretch of two weeks. Both of these series could factor into who wins the NL East. The Mets are coming off taking two out of three from the Nationals and winning eight out of their last nine while the Braves split a two game series against the Phillies and have won four of their last five. This series will also feature Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor who is blazing hot right now. He has hit safely in his last 10 games, 20 out of 21 overall and his just eight RBI’s away from shattering the Mets club record for most by a shortstop since Jose Reyes in 2006. It will be interesting to see if he continues his hot start into the month of August.
The pitching matchups:
There will be a ton of dominant pitching in this series so let’s just discuss the most anticipated matchups. For game one in this series, it will feature the Braves Kyle Wright and the Mets Carlos Carrasco. Both are having career years, including Carrasco as after going 1-5 the year before, he has already touched double-digit victories. This includes going 7 ⅔ innings scoreless in his last against the Marlins. The Braves Kyle Wright has also been pitching well as of late as he has gone at least six innings or more in four straight starts.
Going all the way to Saturday’s games, game two of the doubleheader will feature Jake Odorizzi, making his Braves debut after being acquired from the Houston Astros. Odorizzi has pitched to a 3.75 ERA with Houston this season and it will be the first time in his 10 year career that he will be pitching in the National League. We’ll see how he does in a whole new environment. The series finale will have Jacob deGrom making his second start of the year for the Mets. He pitched five innings of one run ball in his first start against the Nationals on August 4 and struck out six. We’ll see if he goes deeper in his second start after just throwing 59 pitches.
Who wins the series?
The Mets lead the season series right 4-3 and both of these teams have been playing great baseball as of late. This series could go either way but I got the Mets winning three of out of five. The reason why is that they’re home which is a huge advantage and they have the meat of their pitching staff in this series. Plus, their offense has been strong of late as they outscored their opponents 36-20 on their road trip. That success will continue as I have the Mets winning this five game series and holding on to their division lead.