College Football Coaching Hot Seat Tracker

College Football Coaching Hot Seat Tracker

NCAA

College Football Coaching Hot Seat Tracker

By

John Todd/isiphotos.com

College football always has immense turnover when it comes to coaching staffs, with coaches being fired, leaving for the NFL, or leaving to coach at other schools. There is always a magnitude of talented coaches in college football so teams aren’t scared to move on from a guy if he’s proven to not be capable of making them a winner. I’ll outline a few tiers of coaches that are on the hot seat for the coming season. 

There are two main factors I’m taking into account when deciding if a coach is on the hot seat or not, their team’s performance since they were hired and how good of a recruiter they have been, as these are the most looked at factors for every coach in college football. 

Tier 1: Boiling 

Scott Frost, Nebraska: Nebraska has been abysmal since Frost was hired in 2018, as he’s compiled a 15-29 record since with 0 bowl game appearances. It was surprising to see Nebraska let Frost keep his job following their second straight 3 win season in 2021 but here we are. Simply put the statistics are embarrassing for Frost, he’s 5-20 in games that were decided by 1 score or less, is 10-25 in Big 10 games and has failed to beat a top 25 team going 0-14 vs them. On the recruiting trail, Nebraska has been surprisingly good having an average ranking of 22nd under Frost including two top 25 finishes. Frost knows it’s decision time for him and after bringing in Texas QB Casey Thompson along with making changes on the entire offensive staff, Nebraska could pull out a fight this year. 

David Shaw, Stanford: It will be tough for Stanford to fire David Shaw, he is after all the winningest coach in Stanford history and could make a case for being the most successful coach at Stanford ever. However, the Cardinals have not been good, failing to finish top 25 since 2017 and failing to make a bowl game since 2018. They’ve recorded three straight seasons of 4 wins or less in a rather poor PAC-12. Shaw has been a successful recruiter, despite being at one of the hardest schools to recruit for in the nation due to their academic standings. The PAC-12 has gotten stronger the last two years, and unless Shaw can turn it around this year it could be his last as a head coach. 

Steve Sarkisian, Texas: It’s wild to think that a head coach hired not even 2 years ago could already be on his way out but Sarkisian has been awful at Texas. The Longhorns compiled a 5-7 record in 2021 after starting the season ranked 21st and making it as high as the 15th ranked team in the AP Top 25. They started off 4-1 including blowout wins vs Texas Tech and Rice and then rattled off 6 straight losses to Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas and West Virginia. To put it lightly, Texas sucked after September ended. They were outscored 236-182 and just looked bad. Sarkisian has been impressive when it comes to recruiting both transfers and high schoolers having finished with the 15th best class in 2021 and currently having the fifth best class in 2022. They’ve also brought in transfers such as Quinn Ewers, Jahleel Billingsley, Agiye Hall, Ryan Watts and Isaiah Neyor to try and turn it around. If Sarkisian and the Longhorns can’t make a change in 2022, they may choose to roll with a new head coach to start their SEC journey. 

Geoff Collins, Georgia Tech: Georgia Tech is bad, like really really bad. Since Collins was hired in 2019 they’ve gone 9-25 and the losses haven’t been pretty including 7 losses of 21+ points and 3 losses by 50+. Under Collins, Georgia Tech has been outscored 1158-709 including allowing 405 points in 2021 alone. Georgia Tech hasn’t been great when it comes to recruiting either failing to land a top 30 class, and their biggest recruit in halfback Jamyhr Gibbs transferred to Alabama after only 1 season with the Yellow Jackets. Collins wasn’t a good coach at Temple and hasn’t improved at Georgia Tech. Being in a tough ACC doesn’t help but they aren’t a good team and it’s time for change. 

Mike Norvell, Florida State: Norvell, like Collins, is trying to win in a really competitive and tough ACC. In two years leading the Seminoles they are 8-13 including a loss to FCS Jacksonville State in 2021. It’s possible that they return as one of the nation’s most prestigious football schools as they’ve recruited well, but on the field have been spotty and have had some culture concerns with multiple players being arrested over the span of two years. I don’t think Florida State will move on from Norvell quite yet but another failed season in 2022 will probably change that. 

Bryan Harsin, Auburn: Harsin being on the hot seat is more for the outside of football concerns than Auburn’s play on field. In one year under Harsin, Auburn did record a 6-7 record with a bowl game loss but cracked the top 15 of the AP Poll multiple times. That said, Auburn saw over 20 players transfer and 5 assistants, he hired, leave for other opportunities in only one year. Allegations that Harsin mistreated his players and staff surfaced, Auburn launched an investigation but decided to keep him for an extra year. If Auburn can’t make a top 10 finish in 2022, it won’t be a surprise to see the school cut ties with Harsin and try again fresh. 

Dino Barbers, Syracuse: Syracuse is 29-43 under Barbers and have 3 straight losing seasons following their 10 win feat in 2018. Syracuse hasn’t been lacking talent either, as Barbers has developed himself into a higher end recruiter in the ACC helping them in that aspect. Fairly put, he just isn’t a good coach. He really needs to turn around Syracuse quickly or he’s gone, and in a year that the ACC is as tough as it’s been in a while, the cards are against him. 

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