Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Preview 3/12/2022

Jeff Hanisch/USA TODAY Sports

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Preview 3/12/2022

NBA Game Previews

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Preview 3/12/2022

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Jeff Hanisch/USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors will kick off a four-game homestand tonight at 8:30 p.m. EST as the reigning champion Milwaukee Bucks come to town. This Bucks team currently sits at 42-25, good enough for second in the Eastern Conference. They’re currently riding a six-game winning streak behind some awesome play from stars Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday.

The Warriors enter this game with a 45-22 record, placing them at third in the Western Conference. However, Golden State is just 3-7 in their last ten games, although they are coming off back-to-back wins against the Clippers & Nuggets. The Warriors have clearly missed Draymond Green. He’s been out since January, and Golden State’s efficiency on both ends of the court have taken a hit in his absence. Luckily, he’s expected to return on Monday, but he’ll remain on the sideline in this one.

The two teams squared off back in January and the Bucks picked up a lofty 118-99 victory. This is their second and final matchup of the regular season, so Milwaukee will be aiming for the season sweep. It’s also worth noting that Golden State is coming in off one day of, whereas Milwaukee is coming in off two days of rest.

How Milwaukee can win

The Bucks did a fantastic job against Steph Curry last time out, holding him to just eleven field goal attempts and twelve total shots. Milwaukee made it a focal point to keep the ball out of Curry’s hands, and they succeeded. Wesley Matthews did a great job denying Curry the ball and forcing other pieces of this Warriors offense to produce. Even better, Jrue Holiday—one of the league’s top point of attack defenders—is healthy for this game, and will certainly help the Bucks keep Curry in check. Newly acquired Jevon Carter could also pitch into the effort off the bench.

Offensively, Milwaukee should look to get Antetokounmpo plenty of touches around the rim. Elite ball-movement could also lead to some defensive lapses from Golden State, as defensive communication has been a bit inconsistent with the absence of defensive anchor Green.

How Golden State can win

It will be tough for Golden State to beat the reigning champs if Curry goes 4/11 from the field again. There’s no doubt about it, the Warriors need Curry to have a more productive offensive performance than we saw last time out against Milwaukee. Off-ball movement and ball-screens to shake Curry free from pesky on-ball defenders like Jrue Holiday, Wesley Matthews, and Jevon Carter will be key.

Golden State will also need contributions from on-ball creators like Jordan Poole & Andrew Wiggins. It would take an off-night from the Bucks and a lot of Curry magic for him to single-handedly dismantle this Bucks team.

The Spread & Moneyline via Fanduel

Spread: MIL (-2) | GS (+2)

Moneyline: MIL (-134) | GS (+116)

Final Prediction: Bucks 125, Warriors 117

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