AFC and NFC Championship Games Statistical Preview

Michael Zagaris/GettyImages

AFC and NFC Championship Games Statistical Preview

NFL

AFC and NFC Championship Games Statistical Preview

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Michael Zagaris/GettyImages

The four teams that will be competing for a spot in the Super Bowl this Sunday in the AFC and NFC championship games have been set. The Cincinnati Bengals will be traveling to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs on the AFC side of the bracket while the San Francisco 49ers will head down south to Los Angeles to take on the Rams for the NFC crown. Instead of breaking down key matchups between the players on the field, looking at how each respective team performed in different statistically categories, may provide some clues into both matchups.

Rushing

-Cincinnati Bengals: 

99.5 – Rushing yards per game on the season

75.7 – Rushing yard average over the last three games

60.0 – Rushing yards in their recent matchup (KC @ CIN Week 17)

-Kansas City Chiefs:

118.1 – Rushing yards per game on the season

141.0 – Rushing yard average over the last three games

155.0 – Rushing yards in their recent matchup (KC @ CIN Week 17)

Based off these stats, the Kansas City Chiefs clearly have the edge over the Cincinnati Bengals when it comes to their rushing games. When these two teams played each other a few weeks ago, Kansas City averaged 6.7 yards per rush, while the Bengals only averaged 3.2 yards per rush.  Due to the success Kansas City has in their running game that day, Chiefs running back Darrel Williams had two touchdowns in the game.  According to Football Outsiders DVOA, the Chiefs running game is also favored in this AFC championship matchup.

-Los Angeles Rams: 

99.8 – Rushing yards per game on the season

92.3 – Rushing yard average over the last three games

64.0 – Rushing yards in their recent matchup (SF @ LAR Week 18)

-San Francisco 49ers:

128.5 – Rushing yards per game on the season

136.7 – Rushing yard average over the last three games

135.0 – Rushing yards in their recent matchup (SF @ LAR Week 18)

These statistics also heavily favor one team over the other and in this case it is the San Francisco 49ers. The statistics show that they are better in all of the selected rushing categories, including Football Outsiders DVOA. In the 49ers recent matchup with the Rams in Week 18, the 49ers averaged 4.4 yards per rush, while the Rams only averaged 2.4 yards per rush.

Passing

-Cincinnati Bengals: 

258.3 – Passing yards per game on the season

202.7- Passing yard average over the last three games

415.0 – Passing yards in their recent matchup. (KC @ CIN Week 17)

-Kansas City Chiefs:

291.2 – Passing yards per game on the season

332.3 – Passing yard average over the last three games

259.0 – Passing yards in their recent matchup (KC @ CIN Week 17)

Kansas City has averaged more passing yards per game over the season, as well as over the last three games, than Cincinnati.  Although last time these teams matched up, the Bengals held the Chiefs to below their average on the season, the Bengals also put up a huge amount of yards through the air in that game. Football Outsiders DVOA also has Kansas City favored in this matchup, but if their recent matchup is any indication, you could argue the edge is with Cincinnati.

-Los Angeles Rams: 

275.4 – Passing yards per game on the season

263.7 – Passing yard average over the last three games

201.0 – Passing yards in their recent matchup (SF @ LAR Week 18)

=San Francisco 49ers:

236.8 – Passing yards per game on the season

197.3 – Passing yard average over the last three games

314.0 – Passing yards in their recent matchup (SF @ LAR Week 18)

The Los Angeles Rams have averaged more passing yards per game on the season than San Francisco, as well as over these last three games. Although the last time these teams matched up, the opposite was true as the 49ers had more passing yards in the game than Los Angeles. Football Outsiders DVOA also slightly favors San Francisco’s passing game over the Rams. 

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