In the last two weeks of NFL action, I am 9-3 in my picks while going 5-0 on locks. As you can see, I am fairly hot right now, so keep reading to find out my picks for week 9, and follow me on Twitter at @TWN_Wilson as I usually post locks on Twitter.
Lock of the Year
Indianapolis Colts (-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday 1:00PM ET
This line is insanely low, so you should jump on it while you can. The Colts should be favored by way more even as the road team in this match-up. They are by far and away the better team as evident by their AFC South leading 5-2 record.
There is a good chance Steelers RB James Conner could miss this game, and Pittsburgh is already thin at the running back position. Conner will most likely be ruled out, and when that happens, the line should jump. The Steelers would be forced to start their fourth string running back if Conner is out for Sunday’s game.
Jacoby Brissett is the real deal, so he will shine in this game, while Steelers’ QB Mason Rudolph will struggle. The Colts will win this game in a rout. Hammer the Colts in this game at -1 or the moneyline depending on whatever gives you the better odds.
Lock of the Week
Green Bay Packers (-3.5) at Los Angeles Chargers Sunday 4:25PM ET
I have the 7-1 Packers as the 4th best team in the league behind the New England Patriots, San Francisco 49ers, and New Orleans Saints. Green Bay should easily cover this spread against the 3-5 Chargers who just fired their offensive coordinator.
Home-field advantage will not play a factor in this game, as the Chargers do not have many fans in Los Angeles. There are going to be a lot of Cheeseheads in the stands for this game, and they’ll most likely out number the blue and gold fanbase.
There are a couple of question marks on the Packers’ injury report, but they should be relatively healthy, which will be enough to defeat the Chargers.
San Francisco 49ers (-10) at Arizona Cardinals Thursday 8:20PM ET
I like to give out a Thursday Night Football pick in these articles, so I advise taking the 49ers -10 this week. Last week, the Saints beat the Cardinals 31-9, and the 49ers are as good if not better than the Saints, so expect a similar score in this game.
The Cardinals have potential, but they are simply outmatched this week. San Francisco are the better team and are destined for a Super Bowl run, while the Cardinals will most likely finish with a 6-9-1 record.
The 49ers are coming off a 51-13 win over the Carolina Panthers, and will carry that momentum into this primetime game on a short week. I do not expect the 49ers to score 50 points in this game, but they should still score a fair bit.
Detroit Lions at Oakland Raiders Under/50.5 Sunday 4:05PM ET
Going into a week of NFL action, I always scout the over/unders to see if there is any number that is either too low or too high. I think the total of 50.5 is too high for this match-up of two middle of the road offenses.
I do not expect both of these teams to combine for more than 50 points as neither team has a prolific offense. In terms of picking a winner, I think this game could go either way, but I do not expect a high scoring game.