Bundesliga: Union Berlin vs Dortmund: OVER/2.5 Goals
This is a matchup between two of the highest scoring clubs in the Bundesliga. Union Berlin and Dortmund have both scored 25 goals on the season, which is tied for 4th most in the league. Dortmund have also generated the most shots at 181, while Union Berlin lags behind them with 151 total shots. In the past month, the only team that has given Dortmund problems was Stuttgart in a 5-1 defeat which led to the firing of manager Lucien Favre. Union Berlin has similar strengths to Stuttgart, which should allow them to exploit a slower Dortmund defense. I would not be surprised to see a 2-1 Union Berlin win in this match.
PAC 12 Championship: Oregon (+3) vs USC
The Oregon Ducks are playing with house money as they were not originally scheduled to play in the PAC 12 Championship game. PAC 12 North Champions Washington had to pull out due to COVID issues, so second place Oregon took their spot. The Ducks have lost their last two game and are facing an undefeated Trojans team, but there is a lot of potential here.
Oregon has one of the better rushing attacks in the PAC 12 as they run for 189.2 yards per game. USC is susceptible to the run game as they give up 157 rushing yards per game which is about average in the conference. Earlier in the season USC matched up with the conference’s best rushing attack in Arizona State University and they surrendered 258 rushing yards. I expect Oregon to run at will against USC. The Trojans love to pass the ball with 319.2 passing yards per game, but Oregon only allows an average of 235.6 passing yards per game.
Oregon has the key to moving the ball on USC’s defense, while the Trojans play into Oregon’s strengths. The Ducks smashed USC last year 56-24, but with COVID providing so much uncertainties this season, I don’t expect another blowout, but Oregon will at least keep it close if they do not win outright.