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Each unique prop has an “Over” and “Under” point value assigned to it and you will be rewarded that point value if that prop is correct. For example, will Lebron James score over or under 25.5 points, the less likely the prop is to occur the more points the choice will be worth and you build your team score around the amount of correct props you select.
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Thrive has a $500 Freeroll event for SB LIV as well as a contest with a guaranteed prize pool of $20,000. Sign up now with code TWSN10 ahead of the big game.
Here are my three favorite props for the contest.
Patrick Mahomes Over 299.5 Passing yards/95 points
I believe that the Chiefs are going to win this game, and they will do it through the air. Mahomes has only thrown for 300+ yards in 50% of his games this year, but this is surely going to be Mahomes’ best game of the season.
Mahomes averages 290 passing yards per game, which is less than the prop, but he’ll easily pass the 299.5 passing yards with an above average game. However, this will be better than an above average game from Mahomes as he will take home the MVP award for this game.
Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing TDs + INTs/105 points
I am sticking with a Patrick Mahomes prop for my second selection. This one is a little riskier as it is unlikely that Mahomes will throw an INT in this game considering he’s only thrown 5 all season.
Mahomes has only thrown 3+ TDs in 7 of his games all season, but he has thrown at least 3 TDs in both of his playoff games.
Kansas City’s passing TD to rushing TD ratio is nearly 2:1, so it is highly likely that the majority of their scores in this game will come from the arm of Patrick Mahomes and I expect Kansas City to score a lot.
Sammy Watkins Over 50.5 Receiving yards/100 points
For my final selection, I am picking the over on Sammy Watkins receiving yards. He will be the third receiving option for Mahomes in this game behind Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, but he should find success against a 49ers defense that will likely run a lot of zone.
Watkins was very hit or miss in the regular season, but he has taken on a much bigger role in the playoffs. Against Houston and Tennessee, Watkins combined for 9 catches and 190 receiving yards with 76 yards against the Texans and 114 yards against the Titans.
The 49ers will surely prioritize stopping Kelce and Hill, which will give Watkins plenty of opportunities to shine.
Those are my three picks for Super Bowl LIV. Make sure to go to
bit.ly/ThriveFantasy to take part in the $500 Freeroll contest as well as the $20,000 guaranteed contest, and use TWSN10 when you make your first deposit.